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Pandemic Models Forecast That Coronavirus In Colorado Could Quickly Grow Out Of Control - Colorado Public Radio

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Johnson worries too many providers could get sick, then limiting hospitals ability to care for patients in their normal fashion, by “overwhelming the caregivers, so that we have so many nurses and respiratory therapists and physical therapists and physicians who are getting ill and who are being pulled out for isolation and quarantine.”

That, he said, would compromise not just care for COVID-19 patients, but those hospitalized for other things, like heart attacks, strokes or trauma.

Numbers released Friday afternoon show that 781 Coloradans are now hospitalized with confirmed or suspected cases of COVID-19, up from 742 on Thursday. Of those, 663 are confirmed cases, up from 622 on Thursday. The 663 is an increase of 44 percent from a week ago when 458 were hospitalized with confirmed cases.

The data released Friday also revealed that the state set a new record for cases recorded in a day on Thursday, with 2,171. That partly reflects the increase in the number of tests being conducted in the state, but a higher percentage of those tests are coming back positive too. Nearly 9 percent of tests were positive on Thursday, with a 3-day average positivity rate of 7.91 — up from 6.29 just a week ago.

A dozen Colorado counties have re-instituted stricter limits on business occupancy and gatherings in recent days in an effort to reduce the spread of the virus.

Unless the current trend reverses, Colorado is forecast to hit its highest number of hospitalizations due to COVID-19 by Nov. 10, according to the new model. The ICU capacity limits could be reached in early to mid-January, according to the health department.

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Pandemic Models Forecast That Coronavirus In Colorado Could Quickly Grow Out Of Control - Colorado Public Radio
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